Rav Casley Gera's Blog » Politics http://casleygera.com/blog Wed, 19 Nov 2008 20:15:15 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6 en Theme of the day: “it’s over” http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/10/06/theme-of-the-day-its-over/ http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/10/06/theme-of-the-day-its-over/#comments Mon, 06 Oct 2008 14:15:09 +0000 Rav Casley Gera http://casleygera.com/blog/?p=777 First John Snow called it. And now this:

Perpetually fretting Democrats will not want to accept it. The campaigns themselves can’t afford to believe it. Many journalists know it but can’t say it. And there will certainly be some twists and turns along the way. But take it to a well capitalized bank: Bill Ayers isn’t going to save John McCain.  The race is over.

John McCain’s candidacy is as much a casualty of Wall Street as Lehman or Merrill… Before Wall Street’s collapse Senator McCain was ahead. His approval ratings remained high, his VP pick had generated excitement and interest, and his campaign operatives were capable, on any given day, of winning news cycles and giving their opponents fits. And then the underpinnings of American capitalism begin to sink — and with them sunk McCain.

An election dominated at its inception by the war in Iraq is now overwhelmingly focused on the economy. More than half of voters in polls say that the economy is their top concern and Senator Obama enjoys double digit leads among voters asked who can better fix our economic mess. Put simply, there is no way Senator McCain can win if he continues to trail Senator Obama by double digits on the top concern of more than half of voters.

Howard Wolfson, “It’s Over: Why Bill Ayers Won’t Save John McCain“

What could turn things round? Wolfson points to a domestic terror attack as the only thing that could seriously shake things up now. I think the “Bradley effect” is likely to mean Obama’s vote will be smaller on the day than the polls suggest now, potentially making things very tight. And the danger is that overconfident Obama supporters will stay at home. The democrats have to warn against complacency and focus all their efforts on getting out the vote.

Still, it’s true: a McCain victory now would be a stunning turnaround.

Track the latest odds on the race

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]]> http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/10/06/theme-of-the-day-its-over/feed/ http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/10/02/767/ http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/10/02/767/#comments Thu, 02 Oct 2008 22:25:45 +0000 Rav Casley Gera http://casleygera.com/blog/?p=767 Twitter’s scarily addictive election portal has inspired a handful of pleasingly bonkers right-wingers with time on their hands to sign up purely to respond to the stream of Obama-love (and Palin-hate) that it offers with a remarkable array of illogic, cant and irrelevancy. Here are some of my favourites, but you need to see the Twitter feeds themselves (follow the links) for the sheer quantity and madness of it…

Obamalies offers:

RTW Obama, what people are not allowed to know!!! http://tinyurl.com/3g57fb << The Truth Finally Comes Out - Video Proof! OMG!!!!!!!!!

(The link leads to an old video of cobbled-together coincidences, fury over Jeremiah Wright, and insinuations about Obama’s middle name)

If Biden isn’t drunk tonight I will be shocked! http://twurl.nl/3b2xd0 enjoy! pass it on!! LOL

(This one’s a possible gaffe by Joe Biden about the 1929 stock market crash, with no apparent slurring of speech)

@ursulas looks like your avatar is praying….you are going to need more than an avatar praying for you if you support abortionists

Katie Couric is a skidmark on the panties of CBS. She will be gone before her contract ends. Spineless Liberals can wait

Sarah4Prez, though slightly saner, has a lawyers’ knack for getting it technically right, but meaningfully so, so wrong:

Palin is the only candidate that has run anything larger than a debating society

We still have not seen Obama’s “original” birth certificate.

I wonder if Obama always threw is cigarette butts into a proper receptacle instead of on the ground as most liberal “green” smokers do.

If you examine his family tree, you will see he isn’t African American, though he has never mentioned this…more like Arab-American

“Obama Socialist” returns 3.2 million Google hits. Link #2 is Hillary saying he is.

Palin can’t remember a magazine, but at least she can read. The liberal run school system has a 50% dropout rate in many cities. Dems fault.

Save the Polar Bear, don’t kill terrorists, but go ahead and kill babies still breathing amniotic fluid….

etc etc

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]]> http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/10/02/767/feed/ http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/09/23/709/ http://casleygera.com/blog/2008/09/23/709/#comments Tue, 23 Sep 2008 19:10:22 +0000 Rav Casley Gera http://casleygera.com/blog/?p=709

Vintage political Americana with a handsome blond host. What’s! Not! To! Like!

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